et's state this upfront: No one at the Detroit 3 or the UAW truly knows right now how this year's contract talks will play out.
But things could get really, really interesting if the UAW reimplements a temporary change in union rules from 2019 that — coupled with the severe worker shortage now roiling the U.S. economy — could shift the traditional power dynamic in negotiations.
Here's what I mean: Back in October 2019, with about 48,000 workers one month into their 40-day strike against General Motors, the UAW temporarily altered its rules governing how outside employment impacted strike pay.
The changes seemed barely noteworthy in the midst of what turned out to be a roughly $4 billion strike against the largest of the Detroit 3. Among the changes: The union would no longer reduce weekly strike pay dollar-for-dollar when members' outside income exceeded the UAW's benefit — then $250 per week.
Before the change, as CN…