Online used-vehicle retailers are anticipating an eventual normalization of the topsy-turvy used-vehicle market and auto retail in general, but for varying reasons.
For retail-first firms Carvana, Vroom and Shift, seasonably cooling used-vehicle prices could also mean slowing tailwinds on the per-car gross profits they are able to command. For CarLotz, which specializes in consignment, more new-vehicle production could spell some relief.
Traditional franchised dealers can no doubt relate to all four companies.
Used-vehicle prices have been on a wild ride: diving in the spring of 2020 at the onset of the coronavirus pandemic in the U.S. and then swiftly rebounding, eventually reaching record heights this spring and summer.
As analysts and used-vehicle market observers expected, wholesale prices have finally crested. The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index fell 2.6 percent month-over-month in July — but was still up 24 percent compared with July 2020. …