SAN DIEGO — Used-vehicle prices are unlikely to crater in the coming months partly because of the strength of lingering new-vehicle demand, a J.D. Power expert said.
Approaching a "cliff edge" in used-vehicle prices likely won't happen because pent-up consumer demand on the new-vehicle side equates to probable sales of more than 4 million vehicles, said Tyson Jominy, vice president of data and analytics at J.D. Power, who spoke Monday at the Used Car Week conference in San Diego.
If automakers could produce vehicles at 2018 levels, they would "clear this [backlog of sales] quite quickly" and "be back to a more moderate price environment," Jominy said.
Used-car market trackers report that wholesale prices peaked in November and December 2021, Jominy said. In the lead-up to that, prices for the average used vehicle went from hovering around $15,000 all the way to $28,000, he said. Since then, prices have trended about $3,000 lower, Jominy said.
But …