The second quarter made clear that U.S. auto sales are in recovery mode.
The question heading into the third quarter, with COVID-19 cases surging in major automotive markets in California, Florida and Texas, is whether the upward trend will continue.
The industry bounced back from a treacherous decline in March and early April, helped by particularly resilient demand for pickups, after the pandemic confined millions to their homes and cut off traffic to dealerships. On the used- vehicle side, certified pre-owned sales last month were on par with February's, analysts said.
But the market lost some momentum in late June, said Jonathan Smoke, chief economist for Cox Automotive. A rebound in coronavirus cases could cause some people to second-guess going out, Smoke said, and the big discounts that drew customers in April and May aren't as prevalent now.
That combination, Smoke said, is "probably going to produce a June that won't b…