Lesson from the past hints at the future of interest rates

It has been more than 45 years since the two of us sat in free-market economist Vervon Orval Watts' economics class at Northwood University. He noted an interest rate is the incentive or reward charged by a lender of credit or money. For the borrower, it is the amount they are willing to part with or pay to gain cash or credit.

An interest rate consists of three parts. They are the time preference premium, debtor risk premium and inflationary risk premium.

The time preference premium is the original reason for loaning money. The average TPP portion of an interest rate is between 0 and 2 percent. It represents a borrower's time preference to have a good, service or asset today and pay extra via the interest rate, rather than waiting until able to pay in full. When a time preference is 0 percent, the borrower is willing to wait.

The debtor risk premium is inversely related to a customer's credit rating. The debtor's risk premium port…

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CarMax goals: 10 new dealerships, more customer-sourced autos

CarMax Inc. will open 10 stores during the next 11 months, including its first foray into the New York metropolitan market, even as it continues to source more vehicles from consumers and build its online offerings.

The used-car retailing giant said last week that it will open one store in Edison, N.J., in May. It also plans to open stores in Wayne, N.J., and in the Long Island town of Hempstead, N.Y., this summer. It declined to share locations for the other new outlets.

With the expansion, CarMax estimated its capital spending will jump by about $192 million to $500 million for its 2023 fiscal year, which started in March. That increase over fiscal 2022 largely will cover long-term growth investments — more money for sales, auction and production facilities.

CarMax is "committed to an appropriate level of investment" on "differentiated assets," CFO Enrique Mayor-Mora said last week after the retailer reported higher revenue and …

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Suspicious auto loan applications up 260%

Auto lenders and dealers were exposed to hundreds of millions of dollars more in fraud and more than triple the number of suspicious loan applications in 2021, Point Predictive said last month.

The fraud prevention and analysis company, which collects data from a consortium of lenders, singled out phony employers, income misrepresentation and synthetic identities as key components of last year's increase.

Point Predictive's fraud team found more than 16,600 suspicious loan applications — a 260 percent increase — seeking a combined $309 million.

The company estimated lenders were exposed to $7.7 billion in fraud altogether last year, up 5 percent from 2020.

"The pandemic laid the groundwork for rising fraud risk in 2021 as fraudsters learned to use falsified information and identities to benefit from unemployment and paycheck protection programs," Frank McKenna, Point Predictive chief fraud strategist, said in a statement.

"Now that these g…

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The latest numbers on the microchip shortage: North America, China take hit

North American and Chinese assembly plants accounted for the bulk of the industry’s latest production cuts caused by the ongoing shortage of microchips, according to a new estimate by AutoForecast Solutions.

Each represented about a third of the latest production schedule trims, according to AFS, which has been tracking the chip shortage’s impact since early last year.

Globally, 60,200 more vehicles were removed from automakers’ production schedules, even as beleaguered European plants largely received a reprieve.

Plants in the rest of Asia lost an additional 7,900 vehicles, while more cuts were reported in South America, the Middle East and Africa.

Nearly 1.5 million vehicles have been cut from schedules worldwide so far this year. That’s on top of 10.5 million units lost in 2021.

European manufacturers have accounted for much of the industry’s production setbacks in recent weeks, and about half of all vehicles lost worldwide this year. Read more

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Nominations open for Automotive News Rising Stars

Do you know an up-and-coming young executive in the U.S. auto industry whose achievements deserve recognition?

Automotive News has launched its ninth annual search for Rising Stars at automakers, suppliers, mobility companies and service providers. The program honors dynamic executives in the U.S. who are poised to grow in prominence and step into senior leadership roles.

Anyone may submit nominations, which will be accepted through May 20. To qualify, candidates should have a minimum of 10 years of work experience, be based in the U.S. and be 45 or younger as of Aug. 22, 2022.

The Rising Stars will be announced in the Aug. 22 issue.

Learn more and submit a nomination at autonews.com/risingstars.

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2022 Automotive News PACE Awards finalists

Advances in electric vehicles, EV batteries and recharging, automated driving and more have made it to the finalist phase of the 2022 Automotive News PACE Awards.

PACE judges will review the innovations of 31 finalists for the awards, to be presented at a ceremony on Sept. 19 at the Max M. and Marjorie S. Fisher Music Center in Detroit.

In addition, 23 entries have been chosen as finalists for the 2022 Automotive News PACEpilot award.

The PACE Awards, now in their 28th year, are given to suppliers in recognition of a technological innovation in product or process that has reached the commercial market.

The PACEpilot award recognizes pre- commercial, post-pilot innovations in the automotive or future mobility space, including products, processes, software and IT systems.

The 2022 Automotive News PACE Award finalists and their innovations are:

■ American Axle & ManufacturingDetroitP3 two-speed electric drive technology

■ Ap…

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Toyota Crown’s reign expands with new SUV, sedan

After deciding in 2021 to drop both its largest sedan and top-end SUV from U.S. showrooms, Toyota will replace them starting this year with vehicles carrying a venerated Japanese nameplate — though one largely unfamiliar to American consumers.

Toyota Motor Corp. will launch an SUV version of the Crown sedan and sell it in North America beginning in 2023 as a replacement for the Land Cruiser, Reuters reported last week, citing sources at the company. The SUV would come initially as a hybrid, the sources said, and would be exported from Japan to North America and China. A battery-electric version would follow in 2024, while a plug-in hybrid version would be built for Japan's domestic market.

At least one variant of the redesigned Crown sedan — expected to be a performance hybrid — will go on sale this year in the U.S., where it will compete with the Audi A6 and similar sedans, replacing the Avalon, a source told Automotive News.

The Crown SUV would slot …

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Solar, wind power projects in the works for Mercedes’ factories

Automakers are driving toward eliminating emissions in their vehicle fleets, production plants and supplier networks.

Mercedes-Benz said last week that it will more than halve its carbon footprint per passenger vehicle by the next decade compared with 2020 levels.

The luxury marque will source 70 percent of its energy needs for production through renewable energy by 2030 by rolling out solar and wind power projects at its plants and through power purchase agreements.

In an online presentation, Mercedes-Benz CEO Ola Källenius described climate change as "our generation's most important task."

Mercedes' environmental focus will significantly affect the automaker's suppliers globally.

Sustainability will be an "awarding criteria," Källenius said. "If you want to do business with us in the future, you need to have a sustainable business strategy," he said.

Mercedes-Benz Chief Technology Officer Markus…

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EV industry seen shifting to 800 volt

Electric vehicles make up only about one-tenth of the global market. But automakers and suppliers are preparing for the next generation of components, with solid-state batteries, axial flux motors — and now, 800-volt electrical systems that promise to cut charging time in half, sharply reduce battery size and cost and increase drivetrain efficiency.

So far, just a handful of new vehicles use 800-volt systems, as opposed to the standard 400-volt technology. Among the examples reaching the market: the Porsche Taycan, Audi E-tron GT, Hyundai Ioniq 5 and Kia EV6. The Lucid Air luxury sedan uses a 900-volt architecture, but experts say it is technically an 800-volt system.

EV component suppliers say that by the end of the decade, 800-volt vehicle architectures will be the dominant technology, especially as more and more dedicated full-electric platforms such as Hyundai's E-GMP and Volkswagen Group's PPE appear.

"In 2025, the majority of applications coming …

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Texas car dealer taps into school pipeline for techs

In her 30 years in the auto industry, Julie Herrera has learned several tricks of the trade. One piece of advice she has for other dealers: When hiring, hire service technicians first.

"If you're getting an opportunity on a new point or a buy-sell, start immediately with securing technicians," said Herrera, dealer principal of Toyota of Cedar Park outside Austin, Texas.

That's because it takes longer to find and develop them, she said.

For Herrera, 54, training and retaining technicians has always been a point of focus — especially since opening Toyota of Cedar Park in May 2017, after the automaker approved her application for an open point.

"I know what each of their stalls, each of their bays, make per month for the store, and how they help us retain our customers by knowing their jobs," Herrera said.

One of the first things she did was visit area high schools, joined by her parts and service director and shop foreman. Two miles from the…

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Judge again delays decision in automakers’ lawsuit against revised Mass. right to repair law

A federal judge on Friday once again postponed a decision on a lawsuit filed by automakers represented by the Alliance for Automotive Innovation over updates to Massachusetts' right-to-repair law.

In a court filing, U.S. District Judge Douglas Woodlock cited "the resurgence of a demanding criminal trial schedule," the resumption of in-court, nontrial proceedings and writing responsibilities in other matters as reasons for the delay.

Woodlock said he expected to issue a ruling no later than July 1.

In March, Woodlock postponed the decision because of "unforeseen and unforeseeable circumstances" and other competing demands. At that time, he said he expected to issue a ruling by Friday.

The alliance filed the lawsuit against Massachusetts Attorney General Maura Healey in November 2020 after voters overwhelmingly approved a ballot measure that revised and expanded the state's existing law.

The revised law — referred to as the "Data Access Law" …

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Honda to drop Insight hybrid in U.S.

Honda Motor Co. is dropping the Insight gasoline-electric hybrid in the U.S. to focus on hybrid versions of three core models — the CR-V crossover and the Accord and Civic.

Honda said Thursday it will discontinue production of the Insight at its Greensburg, Ind., plant in June.

The Insight was the first gasoline-electric hybrid sold in the U.S., though it was quickly eclipsed by the Toyota Prius.

A redesigned CR-V and Accord, as well as hybrid versions of each, will be introduced this year, Honda said, adding it expects hybrids "will eventually make up 50 percent of the sales mix of each model."

Honda said the Indiana factory will focus on building the CR-V, CR-V hybrid and Civic hatchback.

Details about the Civic hybrid will be released later, Honda said.

"Hybrid-electric vehicles ... are a critical pathway toward Honda's vision for 100 percent zero-emission vehicle sales in North America by 2040," Mamadou Diallo, vice president of …

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